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‘That's a living child,' I said in a shaking voice, pointing at the slops pail. Girl babies don't count.'” In January 2010 the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) showed what can happen to a country when girl babies don't count.

In China the sex ratio for the generation born between 19 was 108, already just outside the natural range.The real cause, argues Nick Eberstadt, a demographer at the American Enterprise Institute, a think-tank in Washington, DC, is not any country's particular policy but “the fateful collision between overweening son preference, the use of rapidly spreading prenatal sex-determination technology and declining fertility.” These are global trends.And the selective destruction of baby girls is global, too.For comparison, there are 23m boys below the age of 20 in Germany, France and Britain combined and around 40m American boys and young men.So within ten years, China faces the prospect of having the equivalent of the whole young male population of America, or almost twice that of Europe's three largest countries, with little prospect of marriage, untethered to a home of their own and without the stake in society that marriage and children provide.

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